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Error bars are graphical representations of the variability of data and used on graphs to indicate the error or uncertainty in a reported measurement. They give a general idea of how precise a measurement is, or conversely, how far from the reported value the true (error free) value might be. Error bars often represent one standard deviation of uncertainty, one standard error, or a particular confidence interval (e.g., a 95% interval). These quantities are not the same and so the measure selected should be stated explicitly in the graph or supporting text.
Error bars can be used to compare visually two quantities if various other conditions hold. This can determine whether differences are statistically significant. Error bars can also suggest goodness of fit of a given function, i.e., how well the function describes the data. Scientific papers in the experimental sciences are expected to include error bars on all graphs, though the practice differs somewhat between sciences, and each journal will have its own house style. It has also been shown that error bars can be used as a direct manipulation interface for controlling probabilistic algorithms for approximate computation.[1] Error bars can also be expressed in a plus-minus sign (±), plus the upper limit of the error and minus the lower limit of the error.[2]
A notorious misconception in elementary statistics is that error bars show whether a statistically significant difference exists, by checking simply for whether the error bars overlap; this is not the case.[3][4][5][6]
See also
- Box plot
- Confidence interval
- Information graphics
- Model selection
- Significant figures
References
- ^ Sarkar, Advait; Blackwell, Alan F.; Jamnik, Mateja; Spott, Martin (2015). "Interaction with Uncertainty in Visualisations" (PDF). Eurographics Conference on Visualization (Eurovis) - Short Papers. doi:10.2312/eurovisshort.20151138.
- ^ Brown, George W. (1982). "Standard Deviation, Standard Error: Which 'Standard' Should We Use?". American Journal of Diseases of Children. 136 (10): 937–941. doi:10.1001/archpedi.1982.03970460067015. PMID 7124681..
- ^ Cumming, Geoff; Fidler, Fiona; Vaux, David L. (9 April 2007). "Error bars in experimental biology". The Journal of Cell Biology. 177 (1): 7–11. doi:10.1083/jcb.200611141. PMC 2064100. PMID 17420288.
- ^ Knol, Mirjam J.; Pestman, Wiebe R.; Grobbee, Diederick E. (19 March 2011). "The (mis)use of overlap of confidence intervals to assess effect modification". European Journal of Epidemiology. 26 (4): 253–254. doi:10.1007/s10654-011-9563-8. PMC 3088813. PMID 21424218.
- ^ Munger, Dave. "Most researchers don't understand error bars". Cognitive Daily. Retrieved 17 March 2018.
- ^ Belia, Sarah; Fidler, Fiona; Williams, Jennifer; Cumming, Geoff (2005). "Researchers misunderstand confidence intervals and standard error bars". Psychological Methods. 10 (4): 389–396. doi:10.1037/1082-989X.10.4.389. PMID 16392994.