Canadian federal election results in Midwestern Ontario

This is page shows results of Canadian federal elections in Midwestern Ontario, which is roughly from Woodstock to Milton, and from Lake Erie to Goderich.

Regional profile

Before the late 1950s, Midwestern Ontario had not leaned towards either the Progressive Conservatives (Tories) or the Liberals (Grits) on a regular basis as there was wide variation in each party's results election to election. Since the late 1950s, Midwestern Ontario has been a primarily conservative-voting area. Even from the 1963 to 1980 elections when the Liberals formed the federal government after every election except one, the Progressive Conservatives usually won the majority of seats, and in the 1979 Progressive Conservative election plurality, the only seat the Tories did not win was won by the New Democrats (NDP). The NDP usually claimed one seat from the mid-1960s until the 1993, usually in the riding of Brant.

Vote splitting allowed the Liberals to win all of the seats in the Midwestern Ontario from 1993 to 2000 in their province-wide sweeps, although one seat was lost to the Conservative Party (which replaced the Progressive Conservatives) in a 2003 by-election. The Conservatives picked up four more seats in the 2004 election, another in the 2006 election, and four more in 2008, leaving Guelph as the only Liberal (and non-Conservative) seat in the region from 2008 to 2015. In the 2015 Liberal majority government win, the Conservatives still took one more seat in the area than the Liberals as they swept the rural areas.

The Conservatives are weaker in the larger cities of Kitchener-Waterloo and Guelph, partly because they have prominent universities (University of Waterloo, University of Guelph, Wilfrid Laurier University) with large student populations. The Liberals retained three of the four ridings in those cities by significant margins in 2006 despite the Conservatives forming the government and won four of the five seats available there in the 2015 election, the exceptions in both elections being the partially rural Kitchener-Conestoga riding, although both wins in the riding were only narrow victories for the Conservatives. Even in the 2008 election victory by the Conservatives, the ridings of Kitchener Centre and Kitchener-Waterloo were only won by the Conservatives by less than 300 votes. The riding of the more suburban city of Cambridge has generally leaned Conservative dating back decades whereas the riding of Brant-Brantford has switched from being strongly NDP, to Liberal to Conservative in the last three decades.

In 2019 the Greens were able to gain over 25 percent of the vote in two urban ridings, Guelph and Kitchener Centre. However, the Liberals held both seats by over a 10% margin.

2015 - 42nd General Election

Electoral District								Incumbent
Electoral District	Conservative	NDP	Liberal	Green	Libertarian	Other		Incumbent
Brantford—Brant	Phil McColeman 25,874 40.89%	Marc Laferriere 15,715 24.84%	Danielle Takacs 19,422 30.70%	Kevin Brandt 1,582 2.50%	Rob Ferguson 515 0.81%	The Engineer Turmel (Ind.) 164 0.26%		Phil McColeman Brant
Cambridge	Gary Goodyear 20,613 38.65%	Bobbi Stewart 7,397 13.87%	Bryan May 23,024 43.17%	Michele Braniff 1,723 3.23%		Manuel Couto (M-L) 108 0.20% Lee Sperduti (Ind.) 474 0.89%		Gary Goodyear
Guelph	Gloria Kovach 18,407 26.35%	Andrew Seagram 8,392 12.01%	Lloyd Longfield 34,303 49.10%	Gord Miller 7,909 11.32%	Alexander Fekri 520 0.74%	Tristan Dineen (Comm.) 144 0.21% Kornelis Klevering (Mar.) 193 0.28%		Frank Valeriote†
Haldimand—Norfolk	Diane Finley 24,714 44.14%	John Harris 7,625 13.62%	Joan Mouland 20,487 36.59%	Wayne Ettinger 1,857 3.32%		Leslie Bory (Ind.)^{[note 1]} 151 0.27% Dave Bylsma (CHP) 884 1.58% Dustin Wakeford (Ind.) 272 0.49%		Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce	Ben Lobb 26,174 44.94%	Gerard Creces 7,544 12.95%	Allan Thompson 23,129 39.71%	Jutta Splettstoesser 1,398 2.40%				Ben Lobb
Kitchener Centre	Stephen Woodworth 15,872 30.36%	Susan Cadell 8,680 16.60%	Raj Saini 25,504 48.78%	Nicholas Wendler 1,597 3.05%	Slavko Miladinovic 515 0.99%	Julian Ichim (M-L) 112 0.21%		Stephen Woodworth
Kitchener—Conestoga	Harold Albrecht 20,649 43.29%	James Villeneuve 4,653 9.75%	Tim Louis 20,398 42.76%	Bob Jonkman 1,314 2.75%	Richard Hodgson 685 1.44%			Harold Albrecht
Kitchener South—Hespeler	Marian Gagné 17,544 36.68%	Lorne Bruce 7,440 15.56%	Marwan Tabbara 20,215 42.27%	David Weber 1,767 3.69%	Nathan Lajeunesse 772 1.61%	Elaine Baetz (M-L) 91 0.19%	New District
Oxford	Dave MacKenzie 25,966 45.67%	Zoe Kunschner 9,406 16.55%	Don McKay 18,299 32.19%	Mike Farlow 2,004 3.53%		Melody Ann Aldred (CHP) 1,175 2.07%		Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington	John Nater 22,255 42.92%	Ethan Rabidoux 7,756 14.96%	Stephen McCotter 19,480 37.57%	Nicole Ramsdale 1,347 2.60%		Irma DeVries (CHP) 794 1.53% Roger Fuhr (NA) 219 0.42%		Gary Schellenberger†
Waterloo	Peter Braid 19,318 32.28%	Diane Freeman 8,928 14.92%	Bardish Chagger 29,752 49.71%	Richard Walsh 1,713 2.86%		Emma Hawley-Yan (Animal All.) 138 0.23%		Peter Braid Kitchener—Waterloo
Wellington—Halton Hills	Michael Chong 32,482 50.90%	Anne Gajerski-Cauley 5,321 8.34%	Don Trant 23,279 36.48%	Brent Allan Bouteiller 2,547 3.99%		Harvey Edward Anstey (CAP) 183 0.29%		Michael Chong

2011 - 41st General Election

Electoral District						Incumbent
Electoral District	Conservative	Liberal	NDP	Green	Other	Incumbent
Brant	Phil McColeman 28,045 48.90%	Lloyd St. Amand 10,780 18.80%	Marc Laferrière 16,351 28.51%	Nora Fueten 1,858 3.24%	Leslie Bory (Ind.)174 0.30% Martin Sitko (Ind.) 138 0.24%	Phil McColeman
Cambridge	Gary Goodyear 29,394 53.40%	Bryan May 8,285 15.05%	Susan Galvao 15,238 27.68%	Jacques Malette 1,978 3.59%	Manuel Couto (M-L) 153 0.28%	Gary Goodyear
Guelph	Marty Burke 19,252 32.65%	Frank Valeriote 25,574 43.37%	Bobbi Stewart 9,836 16.68%	John Lawson 3,711 6.29%	Phillip Bender (Lib.) 192 0.33% Kornelis Klevering (Mar.) 171 0.29% Karen Levenson (AAEVP) 123 0.21% Drew Garvie (Comm) 104 0.18%	Frank Valeriote
Haldimand—Norfolk	Diane Finley 25,655 50.94%	Bob Speller 12,549 24.92%	Ian Nichols 10,062 19.98%	Anne Faulkner 1,665 3.31%	Steven Elgersma (CHP) 435 0.86%	Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce	Ben Lobb 29,255 54.95%	Charlie Bagnato 8,784 16.50%	Grant Robertson 13,493 25.34%	Eric Shelley 1,455 2.73%	Dennis Valenta (Ind.) 254 0.48%	Ben Lobb
Kitchener Centre	Stephen Woodworth 21,119 42.40%	Karen Redman 15,592 31.30%	Peter Thurley 10,742 21.57%	Byron Williston 1,972 3.96%	Alan Rimmer (Ind.) 199 0.40% Martin Suter (Comm) 93 0.19% Mark Corbiere (M-L) 92 0.18%	Stephen Woodworth
Kitchener—Conestoga	Harold Albrecht 28,874 54.08%	Robert Rosehart 10,683 20.01%	Lorne Bruce 11,653 21.82%	Albert Ashley 2,184 4.09%		Harold Albrecht
Kitchener—Waterloo	Peter Braid 27,039 40.86%	Andrew Telegdi 24,895 37.62%	Bill Brown 10,606 16.03%	Cathy MacLellan 3,147 4.76%	Steven Bradley Scott (Pirate) 245 0.37% Richard Walsh-Bowers (Ind.) 174 0.26% Julian Ichim (M-L) 66 0.10%	Peter Braid
Oxford	Dave MacKenzie 27,973 58.90%	Tim Lobzun 4,521 9.52%	Paul Arsenault 12,164 25.61%	Mike Farlow 2,058 4.33%	John Markus (CHP) 776 1.63%	Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington	Gary Schellenberger 25,281 54.47%	Bob McTavish 8,341 17.97%	Ellen Papenburg 9,879 21.29%	John Cowling 2,102 4.53%	Irma DeVries (CHP) 806 1.74%	Gary Schellenberger
Wellington—Halton Hills	Michael Chong 35,132 63.70%	Barry Peters 9,034 16.38%	Anastasia Zavarella 7,151 12.97%	Brent Bouteiller 3,515 6.37%	Jeffrey Streutker (CHP) 316 0.57%	Michael Chong

2008 - 40th General Election

Electoral District						Incumbent
Electoral District	Conservative	Liberal	NDP	Green	Other	Incumbent
Brant	Phil McColeman 22,628	Lloyd St. Amand 17,839	Brian Van Tilborg 9,297	Nora Fueten 3,805	John Gots (CHP) 369	Lloyd St. Amand
Cambridge	Gary Goodyear 24,883	Gord Zeilstra 11,970	Max Lombardi 10,018	Scott Cosman 4,261		Gary Goodyear
Guelph	Gloria Kovach 17,185	Frank Valeriote 18,977	Thomas King 9,709	Mike Nagy 12,456	Kornelis Klevering (MJ) 172 Philip Bender (LTN) 159 Drew Garvie (COM) 77 Karen Levenson (Animal All.) 73 John Turmel (IND) 58 Manuel Couto (MXL) 29	Vacant
Haldimand—Norfolk	Diane Finley 19,657	Eric Hoskins 15,577	Ian Nichols 5,549	Stephana Johnston 2,041	Gary McHale (Ind.) 4,821 Steven Elgersma (CHP) 501	Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce	Ben Lobb 22,202	Greg McClinchey 16,346	Tony McQuail 7,426	Glen Smith 2,617	Dave Joslin (CHP) 747 Dennis Valenta (Ind.) 242	Paul Steckle†
Kitchener Centre	Stephen Woodworth 16,480	Karen Redman 16,141	Oscar Cole Arnal 8,122	John Bithell 3,818	Amanda Lamka (Ind.) 215 Martin Suter (Com.) 127	Karen Redman
Kitchener—Conestoga	Harold Albrecht 23,275	Orlando Da Silva 11,761	Rod MacNeil 7,132	Jamie Kropf 5,119		Harold Albrecht
Kitchener—Waterloo	Peter Braid 21,830	Andrew Telegdi 21,813	Cindy Jacobsen 8,920	Cathy MacLellan 7,329	Jason Cousineau (LTN) 333 Mark Corbiere (IND) 108 Ramon Portillo (COM) 108 Kyle James Huntingdon (CAP) 107	Andrew Telegdi
Oxford	Dave MacKenzie 23,330	Martha Dennis 8,584	Diane Abbott 7,982	Cathy Mott 3,455	Shaun MacDonald (CHP) 1,036	Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington	Gary Schellenberger 20,709	Sandra Gardiner 10,225	Kerry McManus 7,324	John Cowling 3,884	Irma DeVries (CHP) 898 Julian Ichim (MXL) 84	Gary Schellenberger
Wellington— Halton Hills	Michael Chong 29,191	Bruce Bowser 11,312	Noel Duignan 4,747	Brent Bouteiller 4,997	Jeffrey Streutker (CHP) 414	Michael Chong

2006 - 39th General Election

Electoral District						Incumbent
Electoral District	Liberal	Conservative	NDP	Green	Other	Incumbent
Brant	Lloyd St. Amand 22,077	Phil McColeman 21,495	Lynn Bowering 12,713	Adam King 2,729	John H. Wubs (CHP) 526 John Turmel (Ind.) 213	Lloyd St. Amand
Cambridge	Janko Peric 19,419	Gary Goodyear 25,337	Donna Reid 9,794	Gareth White 3,017	David M. Pelly (CAP) 217	Gary Goodyear
Guelph	Brenda Chamberlain 23,662	Brent Barr 18,342	Phil Allt 13,561	Mike Nagy 5,376	Peter Ellis (CHP) 538 Scott Gilbert (Comm.) 111 Manuel Couto (M–L) 45	Brenda Chamberlain
Haldimand—Norfolk	Bob Speller 18,363	Diane Finley 25,885	Valya Roberts 6,858	Carolyn Van Nort 1,894	Steven Elgersma (CHP) 559	Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce	Paul Steckle 21,260	Ben Lobb 20,289	Grant J. Robertson 8,696	Victoria Serda 1,829	Dave Joslin (CHP) 1,019 Dennis Valenta (Ind.) 270	Paul Steckle
Kitchener Centre	Karen Redman 21,714	Steven Cage 16,131	Richard Walsh-Bowers 9,253	Tony Maas 2,822	Martin Suter (Comm.) 274	Karen Redman
Kitchener—Conestoga	Lynn Myers 19,246	Harold Albrecht 20,615	Len Carter 7,445	Kristine Yvonne Stapleton 2,706		Lynn Myers
Kitchener—Waterloo	Andrew Telegdi 31,136	Ajmer Mandur 18,817	Edwin Laryea 11,889	Pauline Richards 4,298	Ciprian Mihalcea (Ind.) 173 Julian Ichim (M–L) 144	Andrew Telegdi
Oxford	Greig Mordue 13,961	Dave MacKenzie 23,140	Zoe Kunschner 8,639	Ronnee Sykes 1,566	John Markus (CHP) 1,434 James Bender (Mar.) 771 Kaye Sargent (Libert.) 204	Dave MacKenzie
Perth—Wellington	David Cunningham 12,301	Gary Schellenberger 22,004	Keith Dinicol 8,876	John Day Cowling 3,117	Irma DeVries (CHP) 1,396	Gary Schellenberger
Wellington—Halton Hills	Rod Finnie 16,065	Michael Chong 27,907	Noel Duignan 6,785	Brent Bouteiller 3,362	Carol Ann Krusky (CHP) 606 Mike Wisniewski (Ind.) 355	Michael Chong

2004 - 38th General Election

Key map	Brant Cambridge Guelph Haldimand-Norfolk Huron-Bruce Kitchener Centre Kitchener-Conestoga Kitchener-Waterloo Oxford Perth-Wellington Wellington-Halton Hills
Conservative Party of Canada	Green Party of Canada
	New Democratic Party

Notes

^ Bory is leader of The Maple Party^[1] which was ineligible to be on the ballot; he chose to be listed as an Independent.

References

^ Pearce, Daniel R. (4 September 2015). "Independent candidate leads own party". Simcoe Reformer. Canoe Sun Media Community Newspapers. Retrieved 22 September 2015.

[2] Bory is leader of The Maple Party^[1] which was ineligible to be on the ballot; he chose to be listed as an Independent.

[1] Pearce, Daniel R. (4 September 2015). "Independent candidate leads own party". Simcoe Reformer. Canoe Sun Media Community Newspapers. Retrieved 22 September 2015.

[note 1]

[1]